Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.061318 0.071980 0.083884 0.098151 0.114779 0.133542 0.156317
2025-08-03 0.045408 0.059435 0.076803 0.099854 0.129619 0.166735 0.216520
2025-08-10 0.036687 0.052231 0.073071 0.102983 0.144750 0.200940 0.282234
2025-08-17 0.028917 0.044159 0.065992 0.099432 0.149244 0.220582 0.330412
2025-08-24 0.024180 0.039234 0.062070 0.099060 0.157309 0.245319 0.388215
2025-08-31 0.020375 0.034915 0.058132 0.097673 0.163105 0.266804 0.443320
2025-09-07 0.018049 0.032497 0.056666 0.099735 0.174266 0.297563 0.516537
2025-09-14 0.015640 0.029495 0.053702 0.098703 0.179893 0.319673 0.577895
2025-09-21 0.013444 0.026489 0.050234 0.096171 0.182361 0.336407 0.631681
2025-09-28 0.011563 0.023752 0.046817 0.093155 0.183379 0.350432 0.681968
2025-10-05 0.010618 0.022670 0.046315 0.095508 0.194631 0.384243 0.772810
2025-10-12 0.009627 0.021334 0.045115 0.096282 0.202823 0.413091 0.857409
2025-10-19 0.008727 0.020074 0.043937 0.097034 0.211277 0.443860 0.950549
2025-10-26 0.007993 0.019063 0.043141 0.098489 0.221408 0.479278 1.057825
2025-11-02 0.007468 0.018441 0.043087 0.101529 0.235299 0.524068 1.190322
2025-11-09 0.006530 0.016699 0.040293 0.098017 0.234219 0.536789 1.254741
2025-11-16 0.005922 0.015655 0.038948 0.097649 0.240198 0.565578 1.358396
2025-11-23 0.005326 0.014546 0.037286 0.096280 0.243620 0.588943 1.452350
2025-11-30 0.004986 0.014044 0.037029 0.098313 0.255477 0.633102 1.600462
2025-12-07 0.004524 0.013142 0.035643 0.097296 0.259631 0.659459 1.708715
2025-12-14 0.004045 0.012115 0.033788 0.094799 0.259681 0.675822 1.794166
2025-12-21 0.003600 0.011114 0.031858 0.091825 0.258084 0.687867 1.870096
2025-12-28 0.003413 0.010835 0.031858 0.094146 0.270969 0.738282 2.051678